
Macquarie on Sun Pharma
OP, TP Rs 2000
Management Meet TakeaWays
Management Remains Confident of Growing Its Branded Businesses with Focus on Innovative Medicines & India Businesses
Innovation segment to do well; India remains a key focus market
Us Generics Market, too big to ignore
Lower fy26/27/28e earnings est. By 9/8/6% to reflect highher than expected effective tax rate guided by management during Q1fy26 Earnings Con Call
Catalysts: Quick ramp-up in leqselvi and unloxcyt, lower than expected one-time spend for leqselvi and unloxcyt launch, accountive m & a deals
Jpmorgan on nbfcs
Shriram finance – assume overweight; TP ₹ ₹ 740 from ₹ 730
M & M Finance – Assume overweight; TP ₹ 335 from ₹ 300
Bajaj Finance – Assume Neutral; TP ₹ 1,070 from ₹ 970
Chola Finance – Assume Neutral; TP ₹ 1,620 from ₹ 1,600
SBI cards – Assume underweight; TP ₹ 830 from ₹ 800
L&T Finance – Upgrade to Neutral from Underweight; Tp ₹ ₹ 260 from ₹ 140
Bofa Sec on Knowledge Realty Trust
Initiate Buy, TP Rs 110
Key features
i) Most geographically divese
ii) High Exposure to GCCS & low to it services, iii) healthy bs with c.20% leverage, iv) High exposure to floating debt
iii) Sponsored by Blackstone & Sattva.
Recent sebi update to grant equity status to reits is likely to help widen investor base.
Ms on paytm
EW, TP Rs 1175
Management highlighted its Increased Focus on Profitable Growth as Seen in 1qf26 (First Quarter of positive pat for paytm).
Management Expects Contribution Margin to Be Sustained Largely Around Current Levels.
It expects Continued Efficiency Gains, Helped by Its AI Initiatives Its Operations, Giving it an Edge in Efficiency, Risk Management, & Customer Experience
With respect to mdr on upi, there have been industry discussions on potential UPI MDR on Large Merchants, but it’s untilar at this stage as to how this will resultsly out
Jefferies on it
Us Government’s Move to Introduce a $ 100K FEE FEE for New H1B Applications will Entrely Offset EBIT PER H1B Employee, Driving A Shift Away from H1B Usage (7-12% of REV) TOWD Local Hiring, subcontracting, & near/offshoring
Talent Supply Crunch Will Drive Up Onsite Wages, Why Cold Drag Profits By 4-13%
Among Large Caps, View TCS/Info as Well Placed; Among Midcaps: Coforge
Clsa on it
H1b fee hike to have limited impact
See up to a 6% Hit to fy27 earnings of Indian it cos under coverage assuming entry burden on fresh applications is borne by them & not share shared with clients, & they content to file a Simber number of festive Applications as avg. over past three years
Believe Actual Hit Should Be Lower Than Scenario
LTIM & PSIS are seeing highhest impact, at c.6%, while tcs lowest, at Around 1%
Nomura on it
Us Workforce of Indian It Firms ~ 20-40% Visa-Dependent
New Visa Apps ~ 17% of Total Filings; One-time cost impact of ~ $ 100k per filing
Potential Hit: EBIT Margin -11-99BPS, EPS -0.5-6% If ops model unchanged
H1B Visa Availability Likely to Fall Materially from FY27F
Medium/long-term: firms to lower visa dependence
Top Picks: Infosys ₹ 1880 (BUY), Coforge ₹ 2100 (BUY), First source ₹ 410 (BUY)
Citi on it sector
If h1b visa rules are implemented as is, see multiple potential impacts
Cost of Doing Business in the Us Goes Up – Part of this will be passed on to clients
Higher Nearshoring & Offshoring (Including GCCs) is a very likely outcome, medium term
Indian it margins will get impacted
Indian it competitiveness in a global context doesn Bollywood
Nuvama on h-1b visa
Increase in Visa Fee (from ~ $ 1,500) May Affect Indian It Operations/Financials, but impact likely limited
Companies Expected to Mitigate via Higher Nearshoring/Offshoring or Hiring Local Talent
Over the past 8 years, Industry has reduced reliefs on h-1b visas significant
Some Near-Term Operational and Financial Impact Unavoidable
Long-Term: Higher offshoring likely to offset Much of the impact
Sector Expected to Remain Volaty in Near Term Due to Uncerty
Margin/Earnings Impact Likely Limited as Companies Adopt Cost-Efficient Measures
Bofa sec on voltas
UP, TP Rs 1203
Near-Term Weakness Persists: Weak Summer, High Inventories, Deferment in Demand to Weigh on Q2 and FY26 volumes
Recovery hopes priced in: Festive/GST Tailwinds May Aid 3q, but Industry Cold Still see 5-12% Contraction for full year fy26
Valuations full: at 42x fy27e p/e, stock looks expensive; may see better entry closer to summer 2026 with clearer visibility
Bofa sec on info edge
UP, TP Rs 1300
Recently Announced $ 100K Visa-Fee Neutral to Positive for Naukri; Sentimentally negative, but don’t expect impact on nt nos.
Companies May Look to Hire More Through Gccs: Positive; However, if gccs diversify away from India: then it may not benefit
U/p on infoedge: despite any uptake in gcc hiring, overall trends may not be as strong, give efficiency gains from gen ai
Jefferies on Interglobe aviation
Buy, TP Rs 6925
Management Meet
Mantained Early Double-Digit Capacity (Ask) Growth Guidance for Fy26.
Prask is expected to be flat-to-Higher yoy in 2q.
Mgmt reiterated long-term tailwinds for aviation growth in India, despite the near-term softness.
On INT’L Side, Co is Seeding New European Routes Using Leased 787s and Expects XLR Delivery Starting from 4QFY26.
Long-Term, IndiGo Targets 600+ Aircraft By 30 and Co is expected its geo and customer profile with recent initiatives.
Jefferies on Adani Enterprise
Buy, TP Rs 3000
Mgmt said Navi Mumbai Airport is set to launch in oct-25 with 20mn pax, & mgmt targets 80%+ cu in fy27.
Mgmt also discussed new tariffs across its airports giving visibility on Profitability
In Anil, Solar/ Wind Projects are scaling up, while gh2 projects will be taken up based on project viability.
In another development, sebi has cleared adani group of hindenburg’s stock manipulation allegations.
Citi on Voda Idea
Buy/High Risk – TP Rs 10
Supreme Court has admitted Voda Idea’s Latest Agr Please, With Gov’T also expressing its support
Key Developments
1) VI’s Petition: Vi has filed a fresh petition challenging additional demands from Gov’t for Pre-FY17 Agr Dues. Vi has argued that Agr Demand Amount should be considered final, but if subject to change, then enter age (up to fy17) should be ressed & reconcilled.
2) Govt’s Stance: Gov’T has indicated it has no objection to vi’s plea. Citing Its 49% Stake in VI & Broader Public Interest, Gov’T sugged that a solution is Necessary (Subject to sc approval) & requested some indulgence from sc
3) SC’s observation: sc noted need for finality in these proceedings & has scheduled next hearing for sep 26th
Mosl on kotak bank
Target Price: ₹ 2,400 (MainTain Buy)
Business growth healthy; ROA Remains SUPerior at Over 2%
Loan Trajectory aligned with disciplined target of 1.5–2.0x
NII Estimated to Clock 19% Cagr Over FY26–28; NIMS Stabilizing and Recovering from 3QFY26
Provisioning Expenses Expected to Subseide vs 1qfy26 and Improve Further in 2HFY26
Full-Year Credit Costs Likely to Sustain at 70bp vs 93bp in 1qfy26
Current Year Performance Estimated Modest, but Earnings Cagr of 20% Over FY26-28E
Robust Return Ratios Expected: ROA/Roe at 2%/12.8% by fy27e
Nuvama on auto sector
Customer Sentiments Boosted Significantly By GSTS (Per Channel Checks)
Expect Double-Digit Growth during Festive Period Across PV, 2W & Tractor Segments
Upgrading Auto OEM Revenue Estimates by up to 5% due to GST Benefits, New Products, Upcoming Pay Commission & Interest Rate/Income Tax Reforms
Better Scale & Lower Discounts Supporting Ebitda Upgrades by up to 14%
Improved Affordability Likely to Aid Recovery in Entry-Level Segments → Higher Target Multiples for MSIL, Hyundai & HMCL
Top Picks: MSIL, TVSL, MM, HMCL
Downgrade: EIM & BJAUT to Hold from Buy Due to Limited Upside Potential
Morgan Stanley on PB Fintech
Recommendation: underweight; Target Price: ₹ 1,370
September 2025 performance MUTED So far
Premium growth expected to improve from Q3, Aided by a Lower Base
Morgan Stanley on SBI Cards
Recommendation: underweight; Target Price: ₹ 710
Receivables growth expected to pick up gradually
Watching Impact of GST Rate Cuts on Spending Growth
Nim expected to expand in q2 with lower borrowing costs and remain stable there
Bofa on paints
Key Issues: Modest Demand & Rising Competition in Indian Paints Sector
Demand Pick-up Possible Given Last Year’s Low Base
High competitive intensity likely to person
Companies Making Efforts to Tackle The Tough Environment
Jefferies on AC Industry
GST Rate Cut: Reduced to 18% vs 28% Wef 22 Sept → ~ 8% Lower Market Price
Can Aid Liquidation of Existing Inventory (Currently ~ 30 Days Above Normal)
Q2 weak so far, but last week crucial post-gst cut & festive onset
Q3 outlook strong with festive sales, pent-up demand, clearance before new bee bee norms, and second summer in west & south India
GS on Hyundai
Recommendation: Neutral; Target Price: ₹ 2,970 (from ₹ 2,600)
Expect Stronger Demand Elasticity in Compact Suvs, Premium Hathbacks & Sub-4M Sedans vs. Larger SUVs/Entry-Level Cars
Domestic India Market Contributes ~ 78% of Hyundai Motor India’s Revenue
FY27 -FY28 EPS Estimates Raised by up to 8%
Ms on idfc first
Recommendation equalweight; Target price ₹ 68
Credit cost peaked in q1 and will likely improve sequeanally every quality
Nims to moderate 10-15 bps in q2 and recover there
Reiterated Its Loan Growth Guidance of Around 20% Yoy
Kotak India Strategy
GST Cut = 15% Increase in Eps in Perpetuity! Surely not
Higher Market Cap. Has to be largerly justified through higher volumes, an extramely optimistic Scenario
It is believed Difacity to reconcile this rosy view with the reality of market size and other factors
Bofa on Food Delivery
Eternal – MainTain Buy; Hike tp to Rs 400 from Rs 350
Swiggy – Mantain Neutral; Hike tp to Rs 475 from Rs 450
QC Competition Low: BLINKIT & Instamart Are Benefiting
Dark Store Additions: Blinkit Adds Strong, Slowing
Food Delivery: Gradual Recovery in Growth & Margins