gold and silver prices remained under pressure on Sunday afternoon following the Union Budget presentation, with traders attributing the decline primarily to global macro factors rather than Budget announcements, as both metals recovered partially from morning lows after hitting lower circuits.

mcx gold Futures traded 5 per cent lower after a modest intraday recovery, having slid 9 per cent earlier in the session. MCX silver held declines as traders approached the budget cautiously, wary of potential changes to import duties on precious metals, according to market observers.

“Selling pressure intensified on the MCX today, with both metals hitting lower circuits, sliding 9 per cent earlier amid a brutal session, compounding Friday’s steep losses of 17 per cent in gold and 27 per cent in silver. Currently, gold trades 5 per cent lower after a modest intraday recovery, while silver holds declines as traders now approach the Union Budget cautiously, wary of potential changes to import duties on precious metals,” said Kaynat. Chainwala, AVP – Commodity Research, Kotak Securities.

The selloff followed Friday’s crash when gold and silver suffered their steepest single-day fall since 1980, settling at $4,864 per ounce and $84.66 per ounce respectively. “The sell-off was triggered by a sharp rebound in the US dollar, broad-based global market weakness, and the Trump administration’s nomination of Kevin Warsh, widely regarded as an inflation hawk, as the next Federal Reserve chair,” Chainwala added.

Market participants noted the correction came after an unprecedented rally. “Data shows that until 29th January, silver had surged 319 per cent year-on-year in rupee terms, while gold had risen 118 per cent. Even after a correction of around 11 per cent in silver and 4.3 per cent in gold on 30th January, silver remains up 268 per cent YoY and gold 108 per cent YoY,” said Sriram BKR, Senior Investment Strategist, Geojit Financial Services.

Domestic gold had retreated from highs near ₹1,80,000 per 10 grams to stabilize around ₹1,49,500-₹1,49,653, while silver corrected from peaks near ₹4,20,048 per kg to around ₹2,91,925-₹2,91,000.

“The ETF prices have turned volatile on the downside, also on the back of expectation around changes in customs duty on Gold & Silver, in the Union Budget,” Sriram added.

Analysts maintained that the decline was driven by global factors rather than Budget-related concerns. “Today’s sharp fall in gold and silver ETFs looks scary on the screen, but it’s more of a sentiment shock than a story-breaker. Precious metals had run up sharply over the last year, and what we’re seeing now is a mix of profit-booking, global volatility and reaction to macro cues,” said Akshat Garg, Head Research & Product, Choice Wealth.

Further pressure may emerge as higher CME margins take effect on Monday, February 2. “Gold margins will rise to 8 per cent from 6 per cent for non-heightened risk profiles, and to 8.8 per cent from 6.6 per cent for heightened risk profiles. Silver margins will increase to 15 per cent from 11 per cent for non-heightened risk profiles, and to 16.5 per cent from 12.1 per cent for heightened risk. profiles,” according to a CME exchange statement released Friday.

“Given elevated prices, a buy-on-dips strategy is preferable. Gold is expected to find support in the 5,000-5,100 zone, while silver has strong support in the 95-102 range. The medium-term outlook for both metals remains constructive amid persistent geopolitical and policy uncertainty,” Chainwala said.

“For investors, this isn’t a moment for panic. Gold and silver are portfolio hedges, not trading bets. If your allocation is sensible, staying put makes sense,” Garg advised.

Published on February 1, 2026

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented her ninth Union Budget in Parliament on February 1, 2026. In the immediate aftermath, the Nifty 500 slipped about 1 per cent from the previous close to around 22,819. By 1:20 PM, market Breadth was weak, with 354 stocks declining, against 146 advancing.

The sharpest early losses were concentrated in a handful of pockets. Metals and mining names such as Hindustan Copper Ltd, Hindustan Zinc, National Aluminum Co Came under pressure. Capital market and broking counters, including Multi Commodity Exchange of India, BSE, Angel OneNuvama Wealth Management, also corrected sharply. Financials — Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Union Bank of India, Karur Vysya Bank, Muthoot Finance, IIFL Finance — featured prominently among the losers. Overall, cyclicals and market-linked plays bore the brunt of the sell-off.

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Published on February 1, 2026

The Bombay Stock Exchange has modified the reference price calculation for gold and silver exchange-traded funds effective only February 1, 2026, shifting to T-1 net asset value as the basis for daily price bands instead of previous day’s closing prices.

The change, announced through Notice, comes as precious metals witnessed extreme volatility with gold futures plunging approximately 16 per cent from recent peaks above ₹1,80,000 to around ₹1,49,500, while silver experienced a sharper correction of nearly 40 per cent from highs near ₹4,20,000 to ₹2,91,000 levels in late January.

Under the revised framework, the prescribed price band of plus or minus 20 per cent will now be applied to the previous day’s NAV published by respective mutual funds and asset management companies, rather than market closing prices.

BSE’s Head of Trading Operations Ketan Jantre issued the directive to trading members, citing volatility in underlying gold and silver prices as the primary reason for the adjustment.

The violent correction followed President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next US Federal Reserve Chair on January 30. Warsh, known for his hawkish stance on inflation, triggered a rapid repricing across markets as the dollar strengthened and real yields rose, leading to aggressive unwinding of leveraged positions in precious metals.

Despite the sharp selloff, market analysts maintain that the secular bullish structure remains intact, supported by central bank gold accumulation and silver’s structural supply deficits driven by industrial demand from green energy, electric vehicles, and electronics sectors. The correction is being characterized as a leverage flush rather than a fundamental trend reversal.

The BSE’s technical adjustment aims to provide more accurate price discovery for ETF trading by aligning daily bands with fund valuations rather than potentially distorted market prices during periods of extreme volatility.

Published on February 1, 2026

Indian equities slumped sharply in mid trading session on Sunday as investors reacted nervously to the Union Budget, with broad-based selling dragging benchmark indices deep into the red. The sell-off was steeper in the broader market, where midcap and smallcap stocks slid 2–3 per cent, while all sectoral indices traded lower—led by PSU banks, financials, metals, chemicals and FMCG shares, which declined 2–4 per cent.

BSE Sensex was down 1,043.91 points, or 1.27 per cent, at 81,225.87 around 12.42 pm, after hitting an intraday low of nearly 2,400 points, while the Nifty 50 slipped 360 points, or 1.42 per cent, to 24,960.65, having fallen as much as 869 points earlier in the session.

Top movers

Max Health, Wipro, Sun Pharma, TCS and Dr Reddy’s Lab traded as major gainers, while Hindalco, Bharat Electronics, Shriram Finance, Coal India and SBI depreciated the most among Nifty 50 pack.

Market breadth remained weak, with declines far outnumbering advances in the session. Out of 3,113 stocks traded on the National Stock Exchange, as many as 1,938 traded lower, while only 1,083 advanced and 92 remained unchanged.

The number of stocks hitting 52-week lows at 160 sharply exceeded the 22 touching fresh highs, underscoring the risk-off mood. Meanwhile, 89 stocks were locked in the upper circuit, but a higher 99 hit the lower circuit, reflecting intense selling pressure across counters.

Sectoral impact following Budget

Defense stocks (BEL, GRSE and HAL), railway stocks such as BHEL, IRFC, IRCTC dragged following the budget presentation. Meanwhile, aqua and seafood stocks soared. Broking stocks witnessed pressure due to an increase in securities transaction tax (STT) on futures.

Shripal Shah, MD & CEO Kotak Securities, emphasized the steep increase in STT on futures and options will likely impact costs for traders, hedgers, and arbitrageurs. “This could cool derivative activity and lead to a reduction in volumes. The intent appears to be volume moderation rather than revenue maximization, as any potential revenue gain could be offset by lower derivative volumes.”

Under the midcap index, NTPC Green, Tata Communications, Swiggy, Motilal OFS and HUDCO rose 1-3 per cent, while National Aluminium, BSE, Muthoot Finance, BDL and Bank of India plunged 6-9 per cent.

Among smallcap, Anant Raj, Neuland Lab, IFCI, Zensar Tech and Trident soared 3-9 per cent, MCX, Hindustan Copper, Angel One, Nuvama, IIFL and Karur Vysya Bank shares dragged 6-13 per cent.

Despite the market trading in the red post-Budget, analysts remain constructive on several sectors. Abhinav Tiwari, Research Analyst at Bonanza, said infrastructure and capital goods are likely to emerge as key beneficiaries, citing the government’s decision to raise capital expenditure to ₹12.2 lakh crore.

Companies involved in construction, EPC, cement and industrial equipment are expected to see improved sentiment and earnings outlook.

“Higher allocations and policy support for electronics, semiconductors, chemicals, textiles, capital goods and container manufacturing strengthen India’s role as a global manufacturing hub. This is positive for electronics manufacturing services, specialty chemical companies and textile exporters, as it supports capacity expansion and long-term growth.

For banking and financials, the impact is largely neutral,” Tiwari said. He also highlighted that the budget is clearly supportive for IT services and data centres, pointing to tax certainty, higher safe-harbour limits and long-term tax incentives for global data-centre operations in India.

Published on February 1, 2026

Nirmala Sitharaman, India’s finance minister | Photo Credit: PRAKASH SINGH

Markets reversed early gains and slipped sharply into negative territory by afternoon on Sunday, February 1, as post-Budget optimism evaporated amid selling pressure across broader indices. The Sensex fell 1,483.53 points or 1.80 per cent to 80,786.25, while the Nifty declined 539.60 points or 2.13 per cent to 24,781.05 as of 12.30 pm IST.

Market breadth remained negative with 2,294 stocks declining against 1,602 advancing on the BSE, while 200 remained unchanged out of 4,096 stocks traded. A total of 178 stocks hit 52-week lows compared to just 65 touching 52-week highs, with 126 stocks locked in lower circuit and 175 in upper circuit.

Broader indices witnessed steeper losses, with the Nifty Midcap 100 down 1,754.00 points or 3.00 per cent at 56,639.95 and the Nifty Smallcap 100 falling 578.30 points or 3.43 per cent to 16,300.80. The Nifty Next 50 dropped 1,764.90 points or 2.60 per cent to 66,074.95, while sectoral indices including Nifty Financial Services, down 566.70 points or 2.07 per cent at 26,739.20, and Nifty Bank, lower by 1,035.00 points or 1.74 per cent at 58,439.15, also traded under pressure.

Only four stocks managed to stay in positive territory on the Nifty50. Max Healthcare led gainers, rising 2.62 per cent to ₹981.90, followed by Sun Pharma up 0.72 per cent at ₹1,606.80, Kotak Mahindra Bank gaining 0.59 per cent to ₹410.40 and Dr Reddy’s Laboratories higher by 0.44 per cent at ₹1,223.40.

Bharat Electronics emerged as the top loser, plunging 9.13 per cent to ₹408.00, followed by Hindalco down 6.06 per cent at ₹904.25, State Bank of India falling 5.13 per cent to ₹1,021.90, Jio Financial Services declining 4.17 per cent to ₹243.90 and HCL Technologies dropping 3.93 per cent to ₹1,628.90.

Sonam Srivastava, Founder and Fund Manager at Wright Research PMS, said “Union Budget 2026 is being read by markets as a continuation budget rather than a disruptive one, which in itself is a positive at this stage of the cycle.” She added that “the budget compresses macro risk premia rather than triggering an immediate earnings re-rating, which is healthy for medium-term equity returns.”

Published on February 1, 2026

Shares of Intellect Design Arena came under heavy selling pressure in early trade on Sunday, tumbling as much as 14 per cent to ₹785 before paring some losses to trade around ₹850.70, still down about 7 per cent from the previous close of ₹913.70. The decline followed the company’s quarterly earnings announcement, which showed a steep fall in profitability despite strong growth in revenue.

On a consolidated basis, the financial technology firm reported a net profit after tax of ₹27.42 crore for the quarter ended December 2025, marking a sharp 65 per cent drop from ₹70.8 crore in the same period last year. The company’s revenue from operations, however, rose 20 per cent year-on-year to ₹731.4 crore compared with ₹609.62 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal.

On a standalone basis, Intellect Design Arena posted a net loss of ₹7.20 crore during the quarter under review, reversing from a profit of ₹34.16 crore reported in the year-ago period. The swing into losses at the standalone level added to concerns over margin pressures and cost dynamics in the core business.

Published on February 1, 2026

Shares of Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) witnessed intraday volatility on the NSEmoving in a narrow band between ₹125.80 and ₹128.36 before trading at ₹128.19, up about 1 per cent from the previous close of ₹126.79.

The movement in the stock comes after the power trading platform posted a steady performance for the December 2025 quarter on Thursday and announced an interim dividend.

The company reported a standalone net profit of ₹115.09 crore for the quarter, marking an 11.5 per cent rise from ₹103.15 crore in the same period last year. Revenue from operations increased to ₹143.90 crore, up 9.5 per cent from ₹131.31 crore a year earlier. The board also approved an interim dividend of ₹1.50 per share for FY25–26.

Brokerage firm Nuvama Institutional Equities, however, struck a cautious tone on the stock despite the earnings growth.

In its note, the brokerage said IEX posted Q3FY26 adjusted profit after tax of ₹1.19 billion, up 11 per cent year-on-year and broadly in line with expectations, even as the tax rate rose to 24.8 per cent compared with 23.7 per cent in the year-ago quarter.

Nuvama highlighted that volumes grew 8.5 per cent year-on-year, driven mainly by strong real-time market growth of 36 per cent, which was partly offset by a sharp 30 per cent decline in renewable energy certificates.

It added that weak power demand during the quarter has been supporting real-time market volumes, but warned that a rise in power deficits could lift spot prices and potentially compress exchange volumes.

The brokerage also pointed to market coupling as a major overhang for the stock, noting that ongoing litigation at the Appellate Tribunal for Electricity indicates procedural delays.

It has pushed the potential impact of market coupling to FY29 from its earlier FY28 assumption, factoring in possible loss of share in the day-ahead market and margin pressure.

While raising its FY28 earnings per share estimate by 18 per cent, Nuvama reiterated that headwinds from market coupling remain and maintained its ‘reduce’ rating on the stock with a discounted cash flow–based target price of ₹118.

Published on February 1, 2026